Friday, July 4, 2014

The Bourse Weekly Performance (Week-ended04thof July 2014)



The Bourse Weekly Performance (Week-ended04thof July 2014)



Week-ended 04th July 2014
Week-ended 27thJune 2014
All Share Price Index
6,477.51
6,363.49
S&P SL20 Index
3,610.68
3,521.30
Total Turnover for the week (LKR)
11,492,509,528
4,111,328,178
Total Net Foreign Inflow/ (Outflow) (LKR)
3,028,495,430
383,947,353
Market Capitalization
2,714,513,087,185
2,666,683,309,228
Market PER
17.45
17.15
Market PBV
2.07
2.03

The Colombo bourse ended the first half of 2014 on an encouraging note, up 8.43% on an YTD basis with sentiment boosted by low interest rates, improved liquidity and the expectation of improved corporate EPS growth. The main index exceeded 6,450 levels whilst recording excellent levels of daily turnovers with weekly average turnover surpassing LKR 2 Bn. TheAll Share Price Index gained 114.02 points (1.79%) over the week to close at 6,477.51 while the secondary S&P SL 20 index gained 89.38 points (2.54%) to close at 3,610.68 points. The total market capitalization appreciated by LKR 47.8Bn to close the week at LKR 2.71 Tn. The foriegninvestor sentiment was very bullish during this week as well, with the total foreign buying of LKR 4.9Bn, outpacing total selling of LKR 1.9Bn. Hence the week observed a net foreign inflow of LKR 3.03Bn. With this the YTD net foreign inflow to the market climbed to LKR 9.34Bn.
A total of 652.74Mnshares were seen changing hands to record a total weekly turnover of LKR 11.5Bnwhich is 2.8 timesexpansion over its previous week’s figure. The off market deals took place on the stocks of DIST, JKH, SUN, AEL, CARG, CIC, HNB, HHL, LLUB, ASIR, BIL,CIC,GLAS,AHUNand DIMO.The week’s ASPI movement was heavily influenced by the stocks of CTC, COMB and JKH. The market PER increased to 17.45x by end of this week whereas the most stagnated PBV jumped to 2.07x.
While we are definitely motivated by the robust performance of the market, with the 1Q2015/2Q2014 corporate results in the offing, we believe that it may be highly important to determine the source of profits, whether a result of actual top line growth or an increase in other income or a significant cut in costs (that may have a negative impact on future productivity). While the equity market has a notorious tendency to rush from one side to another in response to the ebb and flow of optimism or pessimism, we recommend investors to make a directional call, build a quality portfolio of stocks that will generate consistent returns in the medium to longer term.