Research notes

On 07th November 2012
 
Capital market is key to build long-term savings
For most of our lives, we earn and spend money. Rarely, though, will our current money income exactly balance with our consumption desires. Sometimes, we may have more money than we want to spend and at other times, we may want to purchase more than we can afford. These imbalances will lead us either to borrow or save to maximise the long run benefits from our income.
(http://colombostockwatch.com/2012/11/capital-market-is-key-to-build-long-term-savings/)
 
On 23rd October 2012

Blue chips and fundamentally-sound stocks key contributors to Bourse’s recent revival
The rebound in the Colombo stock market between late July and end September has largely been emphatic though a few sceptics continue to write it off as being not genuine or link it to play on junk and speculative stocks.Some well-versed and qualified finance industry professionals too have succumbed to this notion, which some experts opined had checkmated sustenance of the recent revival. This apart, some uncertainty on interest rate scenario, spike in inflation and quick profit taking weakened overall investor sentiments.
(http://colombostockwatch.com/2012/10/blue-chips-and-fundamentally-sound-stocks-key-contributors-to-bourses-recent-revival/)

On 18th October 2012 

Time to invest in stock market: SC Securities
SC Securities is advising the public that the time is right for investing in the Colombo stock market due to a host of fundamental reasons. This recommendation is contained in the SC Securities special report titled ‘Equity Focus: Sector roundup and stock recommendations’. Here are excerpts:The Sri Lankan economy, which was battered by the three-decade long armed conflict, witnessed a solid resurgence in 2010 with a GDP growth of 8%.
(http://www.ft.lk/2012/08/24/time-to-invest-in-stock-market-sc-securities/)


On 21st September 2012

Net foreign inflow tops Rs. 30 b; Bourse rebounds

The year-to-date net foreign inflow has surpassed the Rs. 30 billion mark as the Colombo stock market bounced back yesterday on the strength of a fresh round of buying, following profit taking early in the week. After a small outflow Rs. 31 million on Monday, the market has seen net foreign buying of nearly Rs. 300 million, bringing the year-to-date value to pip the Rs. 30 billion mark, an all-time high.Analysts said the record inflow reiterates foreigners craving for Lankan equities, especially select blue chips. The inflow is also gigantic considering the outflows of Rs. 19 billion in 2011 and Rs. 26 billion in 2010.On Wednesday, when net inflow was Rs. 190 million, foreign buying concentrated on JKH, Commercial Bank, Lion Brewery, Distilleries, Sampath Bank, and Lanka Hospitals, among select others.
 [http://colombostockwatch.com/2012/09/net-foreign-inflow-tops-rs-30-b-bourse-rebounds/]


On 17th August 2012

Foreign investors in colombo Bourse grow in confidence

The Colombo Bourse’s most commendable achievement this year has been the fact that foreign investor confidence is growing, despite scepticism by locals over various issues within and outside the market.So far this year, the net foreign inflow of Rs. 27 billion is encouraging in the context that in 2011 the outflow was Rs. 19 billion whilst in 2010 it was a record Rs. 26.3 billion.
[http://colombostockwatch.com/2012/08/foreign-investors-in-colombo-bourse-grow-in-confidence/]

On 24th July 2012

Sri Lanka should avoid liquidity shocks from the dollar bond: fuss-budget

Sri Lanka is getting several hundred million US dollars from a sovereign bond this week and authorities should be careful not to let it generate a liquidity shock to the system, which can send the rupee tumbling down again.[http://www.lbo.lk/fullstory.php?nid=1957283041]


On 20th July 2012
 
Sri Lanka's next stock rally could be driven on oil hopes: analyst
Sri Lanka's next stock rally could be driven by the discovery of a commercially viable deposit of oil, which will renew interest in the country, an analyst who correctly called the end of the last stock bubble has said. [http://www.lbo.lk/fullstory.php?nid=1035192591]

On 28th June 2012

Sri Lanka banking assessment: S&P answers investor queries
Standard and Poor's, a rating agency has released a document answering potential investor queries following the release of a Banking Industry Country Risk Assessment. (http://www.lbo.lk/fullstory.php?nid=1324791890)

On 20th June 2012
 
Sri Lanka's real estate growth slowed by interest rates, inflation: report
Growth in Sri Lanka's real estate sector may slow in the coming months, as rising interest rates and higher construction costs begins to bite, a new report has forecasted.Sri Lanka is in the midst of a post-war property boom, with key real estate drivers centered around the leisure and ports and aviation development in the southern district of Hambantota.(http://www.lbo.lk/fullstory.php?nid=6998330)

On 15th June 2012

Biz Confidence Index Stalls
The unique index that measures business confidence stalls in the face of conflicting views on how Sri Lanka is faring these days

The performance of a country’s stock market is often viewed as a barometer of investor confidence, an uptick signalling that things are heading in the right direction. It comes as no surprise then, that a deal involving a state institution buying into a firm at what seemed like a highly inflated price would not only raise eyebrows but invite the scrutiny and wrath of many within the investment community.(http://colombostockwatch.com/2012/06/business-sentiment-4/)

Sri Lanka handset market led by Nokia, a third multi-SIM in 2011

June 05, 2012 - Mobile phone makers have shipped over two million units to Sri Lanka with a market value of 22.4 billion rupees in 2011 with Nokia having a 46 percent share, a market research firm based in India has said. CyberMedia Research (CMR), a computer and electronic market research firm said 35 of percent of handsets sold in 2011 could have more than one network connected (multi-subscriber identity module).(http://www.lbo.lk/fullstory.php?nid=1960878033)

Sri Lanka has to re-think CB operations to lift dollar peg: fuss-budget

May 22, 2012 - Sri Lanka's loan interest rates are now much higher, deposit rates are higher, and Treasury bill yields are much higher than when fuss-budget first warned of the unfolding balance of payments drama in August 2011. But to get the full benefit of these changes and strengthen the currency back to levels they were in mid 2011, the Central Bank has to keep the lid on excess liquidity or the positive clearing balance in the banking system.(http://www.lbo.lk/fullstory.php?nid=878592716)